Archive for the ‘Investment’ Category

June 1, 2014 0

ERRB Prediction Week 23

By in Artificial Nerual Networks, Investment

 

Prediction:

ERRB_20140505

Backtest One:

ERRB_20140428

Backtest Two:

ERRB_20140421

Backtest Three:

ERBB_20140414

Disclaimer:

Any stock price and market data provided on my website is for informational purposes only, and should not be relied upon for trading purposes. Historical and current stock price performance data is not necessarily indicative of future performance.

Neither we, the third party that provides such data nor their data or content providers guarantee the sequence, accuracy, or completeness of any stock price information or other data displayed, nor shall any such party be liable in any way to the reader or to any other person, firm or corporation whatsoever for any delays, inaccuracies, errors in, or omission of any such information or data or the transmission thereof, or for any actions taken in reliance thereon or for any damages howsoever arising there from or occasioned thereby or by reason of nonperformance or interruption, or termination, of the stock price information for any cause whatsoever. You should not rely on the stock price and market data provided on my website for investment purposes.

May 23, 2014 0

TRTC Prediction, Week 22

By in Investment

 

Prediction:

Backtest One:

Backtest Two:

Backtest Three:

Disclaimer:

Any stock price and market data provided on my website is for informational purposes only, and should not be relied upon for trading purposes. Historical and current stock price performance data is not necessarily indicative of future performance.

Neither we, the third party that provides such data nor their data or content providers guarantee the sequence, accuracy, or completeness of any stock price information or other data displayed, nor shall any such party be liable in any way to the reader or to any other person, firm or corporation whatsoever for any delays, inaccuracies, errors in, or omission of any such information or data or the transmission thereof, or for any actions taken in reliance thereon or for any damages howsoever arising there from or occasioned thereby or by reason of nonperformance or interruption, or termination, of the stock price information for any cause whatsoever. You should not rely on the stock price and market data provided on my website for investment purposes.

May 23, 2014 0

STEV Prediction, Week 22

By in Investment

 

Prediction:

Backtest One:

Backtest Two:

Backtest Three:

Disclaimer:

Any stock price and market data provided on my website is for informational purposes only, and should not be relied upon for trading purposes. Historical and current stock price performance data is not necessarily indicative of future performance.

Neither we, the third party that provides such data nor their data or content providers guarantee the sequence, accuracy, or completeness of any stock price information or other data displayed, nor shall any such party be liable in any way to the reader or to any other person, firm or corporation whatsoever for any delays, inaccuracies, errors in, or omission of any such information or data or the transmission thereof, or for any actions taken in reliance thereon or for any damages howsoever arising there from or occasioned thereby or by reason of nonperformance or interruption, or termination, of the stock price information for any cause whatsoever. You should not rely on the stock price and market data provided on my website for investment purposes.

May 23, 2014 0

BCCI Stock Prediction, Week 22

By in Investment

Introduction

Please note back test three’s missing tick data: the prediction should be “stretched to the right” accordingly.

 

Prediction:

20140428

Backtest One:

20140407

Backtest Two:

20140414

Backtest Three:

20140421

Disclaimer:

Any stock price and market data provided on my website is for informational purposes only, and should not be relied upon for trading purposes. Historical and current stock price performance data is not necessarily indicative of future performance.

Neither we, the third party that provides such data nor their data or content providers guarantee the sequence, accuracy, or completeness of any stock price information or other data displayed, nor shall any such party be liable in any way to the reader or to any other person, firm or corporation whatsoever for any delays, inaccuracies, errors in, or omission of any such information or data or the transmission thereof, or for any actions taken in reliance thereon or for any damages howsoever arising there from or occasioned thereby or by reason of nonperformance or interruption, or termination, of the stock price information for any cause whatsoever. You should not rely on the stock price and market data provided on my website for investment purposes.

December 19, 2010 0

Portolio Analysis

By in Investment

Here are the results from week 49 & 50:

Portfolio Overview

Number of Winning Trades: 14

Number of Losing Trades: 0

The (geom.) Avg. Gain: 2.49%

The (geom.) Average Loss: 0%

Sum Of Gains: $8,383.25

Sum Of Losses: $0.00

Cummulative Gain (geom.): 141.14

Cummulative Loss (geom.) 100.00

Portfolio Detail

DRYS, direction: long

Open: 2010-12-06_09:30:00 4780 5.88 28106.4
Close: 2010-12-10_16:00:00 4780 6.33 30257.4

Comments:

Slight overall uptrend. Prediction indicates the security having high volitility early in the week with sideways movement mid-week. An uptrend into the weekend.

Confidence in this prediction is low: security prediction exhibits high error rates during training.

Aggressive investment: buy DRYS with extreme caution

F, direction: short

Open: 2010-12-06_09:30:00 1488 16.80 24998.4
Close: 2010-12-06_14:30:00 1488 16.69 24834.72

Comments:

Overall uptrend. Will dip Monday before turning to the long side for the
rest of the week. Wednesday is a critical point, re-run neurals at the
close Tuesday to confirm trend.

Aggressive investment: short Ford at the open Monday until mid-afternoon
then turn long.

F, direction: long

Open: 2010-12-06_14:30:00 1504 16.69 25101.76
Close: 2010-12-10_16:00:00 1504 16.73 25161.92

Comments:

Overall uptrend. Will dip Monday before turning to the long side for the
rest of the week. Wednesday is a critical point, re-run neurals at the
close Tuesday to confirm trend.

Aggressive investment: short Ford at the open Monday until mid-afternoon
then turn long.

XLF, direction: short

Open: 2010-12-06_09:30:00 1646 15.53 25562.38
Close: 2010-12-19_09:32:00 1646 15.10 24854.6

Comments:

Moderately strong and steady uptrend. Confidence in this prediction is high: training periods indicate consistent technical analysis with low training error rates.

Aggresive investment: Short Monday in volitatility then turn long until mid-Thursday afternoon or, more likely, early Friday.

MOT, direction: long

Open: 2010-12-06_09:30:00 3033 8.24 24991.92
Close: 2010-12-10_16:00:00 3033 8.64 26205.12

Comments:

Poor prediction performance from the neurals on this security; will
probably move slightly higher but not conclusive.

Aggresive investment: Buy Motorola but watch it very carefully.

XLF, direction: long

Open: 2010-12-06_12:00:00 1646 15.10 24854.6
Close: 2010-12-09_14:30:00 1646 15.54 25578.84

Comments:

Moderately strong and steady uptrend. Confidence in this prediction is high: training periods indicate consistent technical analysis with low training error rates.

Aggresive investment: Short Monday in volitatility then turn long until mid-Thursday afternoon or, more likely, early Friday.

BAC, direction: short

Open: 2010-12-10_09:30:00 1640 12.80 20992
Close: 2010-12-10_15:58:00 1640 12.54 20565.6

Comments:

Short at the open until just before the close on Monday. Turn long until
exiting at 11:00 a.m. Friday

GE, direction: long

Open: 2010-12-13_10:30:00 1191 17.63 20997.33
Close: 2010-12-17_16:00:00 1191 17.70 21080.7

Comments:

Enter long position at 10:30 a.m. Monday. Exit position at the close Friday.

MOT, direction: short

Open: 2010-12-13_09:30:00 2431 8.64 21003.84
Close: 2010-12-16_10:00:00 2431 8.57 20833.67

Comments:

Short until Thursday 10:00 a.m. Turn long until Friday 11:00 a.m.

XLF, direction: long

Open: 2010-12-13_16:00:00 2488 8.44 20998.72
Close: 2010-12-17_13:00:00 2488 8.88 22093.44

Comments:

Enter Long Monday 4:00 p.m. until Friday at 1:00 p.m.

THC, direction: short

Open: 2010-12-13_09:30:00 3158 6.65 21000.7
Close: 2010-12-14_11:00:00 3158 6.54 20653.32

Comments:

THC, direction: long

Open: 2010-12-13_11:00:00 3158 6.54 20653.32
Close: 2010-12-17_16:00:00 3158 6.73 21253.34

Comments:

BAC, direction: long

Open: 2010-12-13_15:58:00 1640 12.54 20565.6
Close: 2010-12-17_11:00:00 1640 12.59 20647.6

Comments:

Short at the open until just before the close on Monday. Turn long until
exiting at 11:00 a.m. Friday

MOT, direction: long

Open: 2010-12-16_10:00:00 2431 8.57 20833.67
Close: 2010-12-17_11:00:00 2431 8.80 21392.8

Comments:

Short until Thursday 10:00 a.m. Turn long until Friday 11:00 a.m.