Archive for the ‘Information Technology’ Category

June 1, 2014 0

ERRB Prediction Week 23

By in Artificial Nerual Networks, Investment

 

Prediction:

ERRB_20140505

Backtest One:

ERRB_20140428

Backtest Two:

ERRB_20140421

Backtest Three:

ERBB_20140414

Disclaimer:

Any stock price and market data provided on my website is for informational purposes only, and should not be relied upon for trading purposes. Historical and current stock price performance data is not necessarily indicative of future performance.

Neither we, the third party that provides such data nor their data or content providers guarantee the sequence, accuracy, or completeness of any stock price information or other data displayed, nor shall any such party be liable in any way to the reader or to any other person, firm or corporation whatsoever for any delays, inaccuracies, errors in, or omission of any such information or data or the transmission thereof, or for any actions taken in reliance thereon or for any damages howsoever arising there from or occasioned thereby or by reason of nonperformance or interruption, or termination, of the stock price information for any cause whatsoever. You should not rely on the stock price and market data provided on my website for investment purposes.

January 25, 2014 0

Touch The Sky

By in Information Technology

I marvelled with admiration and reverence; less than a meter from where I stood lay open the Gutenberg Bible, the manifestation of arguably the most powerful instrument in the world. Gutenburg’s creation gave the world for the fist time mass dissemination of knowledge.

Gutenberg’s innovation–making possible the furnishing of information to the masses–meant that knowledge was no longer held as tightly guarded secrets by the elite class and clergy, the latter of whom painstakingly wrote at best a single work per year. Gutenberg’s genius carried the world out of darkness and sparked The Renaissance.

January 19, 2011 1

Artificial Neural Networks: Principles and Applications

By in Artificial Nerual Networks, Information Technology

I gave an Advanced Topics presentation last night in SE Portland. I had a lot of fun and judging from the audience’s reaction I gauge my presentation a success.

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December 8, 2010 0

Neural Screencast

By in Artificial Nerual Networks, Information Technology

I posted my week’s predictions (pulled an “all-nighter” actually). Here’s a video of what the prediction process looks like:

 

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    video="http://cooper.stevenson.name/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/neural_prediction.flv"
    width="320"
    height="240"
    clickurl="http://cooper.stevenson.name/"
    player="2"
    autoplay="false"
    loop="false"
    autorewind="true"
    splashimage="http://yourwebsite.com/wp-content/plugins/hana-flv-player/splash.jpg"
/]

November 15, 2010 0

A Server Room is a Terrible Thing To Waste

By in Information Technology

Here are two “before and after” images of a server room installation I performed last week. I put in an estimate for cable runs for the high voltage and “overflow” CAT 6 lines. I expect them to arrive next week.

[gallery orderby="ID"]
November 14, 2010 0

Why I Do IT II

By in Information Technology

I received this excerpt from an email I received this morning after having just returned from New York:

I would also like to point out how incredible Cooper was. The fact alone
that he was willing to stay in NYC for two weeks in order to get us set up
was amazing. He was always in the best mood and gave Scott and I hands on
training so that we can work on the new network, and trouble shoot problems.
Nothing but great things to say about him. True pleasure to have on the
team and was invaluable.

I find it hard to imagine a better group of people to work with.

November 8, 2010 0

ANN Presentation

By in Artificial Nerual Networks

Here’s a sneak preview of my Advanced Topics ANN presentation I’m giving in Portland on the 19th:

[caption id="attachment_297" align="aligncenter" width="538" caption="ANN's: What are they used for?"][/caption]

October 25, 2010 0

United States Oil (USO), Week 43 Prediction

By in Artificial Nerual Networks

Here is the Artificial Neural Network’s prediction for United States Oil (USO), week 43:

Backtest USO week 42:

Backtest USO week 41:

Backtest USO week 40:

October 25, 2010 0

Currency Shares Euro Trust (FXE), Week 43 Prediction

By in Artificial Nerual Networks

Here is the Artificial Neural Network’s prediction for Currency Shares Euro Trust (FXE), week 43:

Backtest FXE week 42:

Backtest FXE week 41:

Backtest FXE week 40:

October 25, 2010 0

Graphs: Executive Edition

By in Artificial Nerual Networks

I wrote the de-scaling logic and x-axis labeling for the prediction/backtesting graphs. Here’s my first draft, complete with a format readable by normal human beings:

There are a couple of things I have to fix.

First, see that spike near the “Tuesday” mark? That spike actually happened at Tuesday’s opening. The discrepancy is because my tick data is missing some ticks. This is also the reason why the blue “Observed” line is longer than the “Predicted” line. That means that I have to write a routine that preps the tick data before feeding into the ANN.

The good news is that the prediction actually “nailed” Tuesday morning’s spike–the ANN “knew” a surge was coming before the currency trust basically moved sideways for the rest of the week.